fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. What Liz Cheney might do next | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. 2,. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. david senak now. They determine whether we live in a free or repres 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. NEW TOWN . 3 min read. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. Podcast-19 - FiveThirtyEight American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Our Data | FiveThirtyEight What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. 01:06 PM. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Conversations with Tyler | Listen to Tyler Cowen's Official Podcast They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! Edit your transcribed text. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? It's easy. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. . 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. By May 21, 2021 0 . They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at June 2, 2016. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. RSS Loading. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Dive in and Share your insights! Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. . The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. They consider how much. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. 450 episodes. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. MANAGER'S SALARY. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Preview of Spotify. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. 01:00 PM. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. This is the first episode. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion.

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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts